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Review of Monetary Policy from a Broad Perspective

日本語

Since the late 1990s, when Japan's economy fell into deflation, achieving price stability has been a challenge for a long period of 25 years. During this period, the Bank has implemented various monetary easing measures. These measures have interacted with and influenced wide areas of Japan's economic activity, prices, and financial sector. With these interactions in mind, in order to further deepen its understanding of monetary policy over this period and gain insights that will be useful for future policy conduct, the Bank decided at its April 2023 Monetary Policy Meeting (MPM) to conduct a review of monetary policy from a broad perspective (the Review). It published a final report on the results of the Review, after its December 2024 MPM.

Releases related to the Review are provided below.

Final Report: Review of Monetary Policy from a Broad Perspective

Table : Final Report: Review of Monetary Policy from a Broad Perspetive
Date Title
Dec. 19, 2024 (Reference) Review of Monetary Policy from a Broad Perspective: Summary (Updated on February 13, 2025) [PDF 233KB]
Dec. 19, 2024 Review of Monetary Policy from a Broad Perspective (Updated on February 13, 2025) [PDF 8,374KB]
Dec. 19, 2024 Statement on Monetary Policy [PDF 444KB]

Speeches

Table : Speeches
Date Speaker Title
Dec. 25, 2024 UEDA Kazuo, Governor "Achievement of the 2 Percent Price Stability Target and Japan's Economy" (Speech at the Meeting of Councillors of Keidanren (Japan Business Federation) in Tokyo)
May 27, 2024 UCHIDA Shinichi, Deputy Governor "Price Dynamics in Japan over the Past 25 Years" (Keynote Speech at the 2024 BOJ-IMES Conference Hosted by the Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan)
May 27, 2024 UEDA Kazuo, Governor Opening Remarks at the 2024 BOJ-IMES Conference Hosted by the Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan
Sept. 30, 2023 UEDA Kazuo, Governor "Central Bank Finances and Monetary Policy Conduct" (Speech at the Japan Society of Monetary Economics)
Sept. 6, 2023 TAKATA Hajime, Member of the Policy Board "Economic Activity, Prices, and Monetary Policy in Japan" (Speech at a Meeting with Local Leaders in Yamaguchi)
May 19, 2023 UEDA Kazuo, Governor "Basic Thinking on Monetary Policy and the Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices" (Speech at a Meeting Held by the Naigai Josei Chosa Kai (Research Institute of Japan))

Research and Studies

In the Review, the Bank assessed the effects of various unconventional monetary policy measures implemented over the past 25 years in the context of interactions with developments in economic activity and prices at each point in time. In addition, it analyzed the impact, including the side effects, on financial markets and the financial system. The Bank also considered (1) the background to the effects of these measures, including how various changes in the economic environment since the 1990s -- for example, the globalization of the economy and the declining and aging population in Japan -- affected factors such as corporate and household behavior and the formation mechanisms of wages and prices and (2) the implications that the effects of these changes had for monetary policy.

Releases related to research and studies for the Review are provided in this section.

List (excluding Research Papers Released by IMES)
Date Title
Feb. 19, 2025 Uncertainty in the Formation of Inflation Expectations in Japan: An Analysis Using the Macroeconomic Model Q-JEM
Feb. 19, 2025 Measuring Policy Effects since the Introduction of Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing (QQE): An Analysis Using the Macroeconomic Model Q-JEM
Feb. 7, 2025 The Impact of Negative Interest Rate Policy on Interest Rate Formation and Lending
Dec. 27, 2024 Impact of the Fund-Provisioning Measure to Stimulate Bank Lending in Japan
Dec. 27, 2024 Assessing the Long-Term Impact of Monetary Policy
Dec. 26, 2024 On the Balassa-Samuelson Effect in Japan
Dec. 26, 2024 Firms' Interest Payment Burden and Productivity under a Low Interest Rate Environment
Dec. 20, 2024 Estimating the Natural Yield Curve in Japan Using a VAR with Common Trends
Dec. 20, 2024 Japan's Unconventional Monetary Policy and the Exchange Rate Dynamics
Dec. 20, 2024 Effects and Side Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy: A Shadow Rate Approach
Dec. 20, 2024 Macroeconomic Impact of Shifts in Long-term Inflation Expectations
Dec. 13, 2024 Potential Growth in Japan: Issues on Its Relationship with Prices and Wages
Dec. 13, 2024 Determinants of Price Markups at Japanese Firms and Implications for Productivity
Dec. 13, 2024 Japan's Economy and Prices over the Past 25 Years: Past Discussions and Recent Issues
Dec. 11, 2024 Trends in the Discussions of the Costs and Benefits of Price Fluctuations
Nov. 6, 2024 Developments in the Japanese Money Markets and their Functioning with Excess Reserves
Nov. 1, 2024 Globalization and Its Growing Impact on the Natural Rates of Interest in Developed Economies
Oct. 11, 2024 Recent Developments in Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest
Sept. 10, 2024 The Bank of Japan's Large-Scale Government Bond Purchases and the Formation of Long-Term Interest Rates
Aug. 30, 2024 The Impact of Quantitative and Qualitative Easing and Yield Curve Control on the Functioning of the Japanese Government Bond Market
July 18, 2024 Counterfactual Simulation of the Effect of Large-Scale Monetary Easing on Japan's Financial System
July 18, 2024 The Effects of Monetary Easing on Japan's Financial System
June 28, 2024 Linkage between Wage and Price Inflation in Japan
June 17, 2024 Market Functioning in the Japanese Corporate Bond Market
June 12, 2024 Environment for Startups in Japan and Initiatives in the Regional Japan
May 24, 2024 Assessing Measures of Inflation Expectations: A Term Structure and Forecasting Power Perspective
Apr. 26, 2024 Japan's Inflation under Global Inflation Synchronization
Apr. 8, 2024 Aggregate Implications of Changing Industrial Trends in Japan
Mar. 25, 2024 Changes in the Global Economic Landscape and Issues for Japan's Economy
Dec. 12, 2023 Central Bank Finances and Monetary Policy Conduct
List of Research Papers Released by IMES
Date Title
Nov. 28, 2024 Innovation Choice, Product Life Cycles, and Optimal Trend Inflation(Link to the IMES website)
Nov. 28, 2024 Measurement Errors in the Consumer Price Index: Perspectives on Numerical Targets for Price Stability in Major Economies(Link to the IMES website)
Nov. 28, 2024 On the Zero-Inflation Norm of Japanese Firms(Link to the IMES website)
Nov. 20, 2024 A Quantitative Assessment of the Impact of Deflation in an Aging Economy(Link to the IMES website)
Oct. 15, 2024 On the Interaction between Monetary and Fiscal Policy: Developments in Macroeconomics since the Global Financial Crisis(Link to the IMES website)
Sept. 26, 2024 Price Dynamics and Monetary Policy Challenges
-- Lessons Learned and Going Forward --
Summary of the 2024 BOJ-IMES Conference
(Link to the IMES website)
June 28, 2024 Role of Foreign Direct Investment as a Long-term Capital Flow Channel(Link to the IMES website)
June 28, 2024 Aging, Housing, and Macroeconomic Inefficiency(Link to the IMES website)

Exchanging Views and Other Initiatives

In proceeding with the Review, the Bank not only worked on relevant analyses but also included various outreach initiatives, in order to incorporate a wide range of external expertise and to enhance the objectivity and transparency of the Review. These initiatives included surveys and interviews with households, firms, and financial institutions; exchanges of views on occasions such as meetings of the Bank's Policy Board members with local and business leaders; workshops involving experts from home and abroad; and "Public Consultation" via the internet and by mail. Moreover, prior to the release of the final report, the Bank asked academic experts to provide commentaries on the results of the Review. The commentaries are included in the report.

Information on exchanging views and other initiatives for the Review is provided in this section.

Table : Exchanging Views and Other Initiatives
Date Title
Aug. 9, 2024 Economic Activity, Prices, and Monetary Policy over the Past 25 Years: Summary of the Second Workshop on the "Review of Monetary Policy from a Broad Perspective"
June 28, 2024 Regional Economic Report (Annex) "Results of the Survey regarding Corporate Behavior since the Mid-1990s"
Mar. 11, 2024 The Effects and Side Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy: Summary of the First Workshop on the "Review of Monetary Policy from a Broad Perspective"
Dec. 1, 2023 Bond Market Survey, Results of Special Survey (November 2023) [PDF 376KB]

Discussions at the MPMs

Discussions about the monetary policy review at the MPMs are excerpted from the minutes of the meetings and provided on the following page.

Announcements concerning the Conduct of the Review

Table : Announcements concerning the Conduct of the Review
Date Title
July 14, 2023 Approach to Conducting the Monetary Policy Review from a Broad Perspective [PDF 288KB]
Apr. 28, 2023 Statement on Monetary Policy

Past Releases on the Bank's Assessments etc.

Comprehensive Assessment(September 2016)
Date Title
Sept. 21, 2016 Comprehensive Assessment: Developments in Economic Activity and Prices as well as Policy Effects since the Introduction of Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing (QQE) [PDF 812KB]
Oct. 14, 2016 Supplementary Paper Series for the "Comprehensive Assessment" (1): Developments in Inflation Expectations over the Three Years since the Introduction of Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing (QQE)
Oct. 18, 2016 Supplementary Paper Series for the "Comprehensive Assessment" (2): Developments in the Natural Rate of Interest in Japan
Nov. 7, 2016 Supplementary Paper Series for the "Comprehensive Assessment" (3): Policy Effects since the Introduction of Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing (QQE) -- Assessment Based on the Bank of Japan's Large-scale Macroeconomic Model (Q-JEM) --
July 28, 2017 Supplementary Paper Series for the "Comprehensive Assessment" (4): Why Did the BOJ Not Achieve the 2 Percent Inflation Target with a Time Horizon of About Two Years? -- Examination by Time Series Analysis --
Assessment for Further Effective and Sustainable Monetary Easing (March 2021)
Date Title
Mar. 19, 2021 Assessment for Further Effective and Sustainable Monetary Easing [PDF 4,374KB]
Apr. 30, 2021 Supplementary Paper Series for the "Assessment" (1): The Effects of the Bank of Japan's ETF Purchases on Risk Premia in the Stock Markets
Apr. 30, 2021 Supplementary Paper Series for the "Assessment" (2): Estimating Effects of Expansionary Monetary Policy since the Introduction of Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing (QQE) Using the Macroeconomic Model (Q-JEM)
July 13, 2021 Supplementary Paper Series for the "Assessment" (3): Inflation-Overshooting Commitment: An Analysis Using a Macroeconomic Model
Workshops on "Issues Surrounding Price Developments during the COVID-19 Pandemic" (March, May, and November 2022)
Date Title
May 23, 2022 Characteristics of Price Developments in Japan: Summary of the First Workshop on "Issues Surrounding Price Developments during the COVID-19 Pandemic"
Aug. 31, 2022 The Phillips Curve and Cost Pass-Through in Japan: Summary of the Second Workshop on "Issues Surrounding Price Developments during the COVID-19 Pandemic"
Nov. 30, 2022 Pass-Through of Cost-Push Pressures to Consumer Prices
Dec. 8, 2022 Inflation in Japan: Changes during the Pandemic and Issues for the Future
Jan. 31, 2023 The Wage Formation Mechanism in Japan: Summary of the Third Workshop on "Issues Surrounding Price Developments during the COVID-19 Pandemic"
Mar. 16, 2023 Wage Developments in Japan: Four Key Issues for the Post-COVID-19 Wage Growth
June 19, 2023 Heterogeneity and Wage Growth of Full-time Workers in Japan: An Empirical Analysis Using Micro Data

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