Institute of Developing Economies>Research Activities>Research Projects >2026 Research Projects>A Historical Analysis of the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis [1995-96].

Research Activities

A Historical Analysis of the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis [1995-96].

Outline

During the Cold War, the Taiwan Strait experienced recurrent tensions, beginning with the First and Second Taiwan Strait Crises of the 1950s, which unfolded as military confrontations over frontline offshore islands such as Kinmen and Matsu and drew the direct involvement of the United States. This "original pattern of confrontation" was subsequently transformed by the 1979 U.S.–Taiwan diplomatic break, the end of the Cold War, and Taiwan’s democratization, before re-emerging in new form as the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis of 1995–96. Situated within this historical context, this study focuses on the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis and examines its historical significance, the interactions among the United States, China, and Taiwan, and the evolution of the status quo framework in the Taiwan Strait. To this end, it makes phased use of newly released and accessible sources while refining key issues identified in earlier scholarship, adopting an approach grounded in diplomatic history.

Period

April 2026 - March 2028

Members

Role	Member
[ Organizer ]	Matsumoto, Haruka

*Affiliations are as of April 2026.

Expected Outcome

• The Ajia Keizai