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No.951 Foreign Firms in Vietnam and the US–China Trade War

by Kazunobu Hayakawa, Chuc Nguyen Dinh

January 2025

ABSTRACT

This study empirically investigates ownership of foreign firms in Vietnam during the US–China trade war. In our empirical analysis, we identify firm’s nationality by two indicators: the country of the largest shareholder or investor, and the directors’ nationalities. This differentiation plays a key role in identifying so-called "Singapore-washing" in Chinese firms. Our findings can be summarized as follows. First, foreign direct investment from Singapore is mostly conducted by non-Singaporeans. However, there are only a small number of Chinese directors’ firms with an investment source from Singapore. Second, among firms in Vietnam with Chinese directors, those that entered after the start of the US–China trade war or those with an investment source from countries other than China have a lower propensity for trade. Third, the larger presence of firms with an investment from China is associated with higher export growth to the US, but firms with Chinese directors are not.

Keywords: US–China trade war, Chinese firms, Vietnam
JEL classification: F15, F53

Please note that discussion papers are works in various stages of progress and most have not been edited and proofread and may contain errors of fact or judgment. Revised versions of these papers may subsequently appear in more formal publication series. The views expressed in this publication are those of the author(s). The IDE does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included and accepts no responsibility for any consequences arising from its use.

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