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4. HAYASHI Michiya

Researcher Name

HAYASHI Michiya

Div (Section) name/title

Earth System Division(Earth System Risk Analysis Section)/Senior Researcher

Research Subject

Analyzing the uncertainty of climate change projections; Understanding the atmosphere-ocean interaction in climate change

Degree(s)

Ph.D.

Professional Qualification(s)

Science,Physics,Mathematics

Environmental Speciality Field

global warming,atmosphere-ocean interaction,climate variability

Career

2013 March Graduated (M.S.), Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Kyushu University
2013 April JSPS Research Fellowship for Young Scientists (DC1), Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute (AORI), The University of Tokyo
2016 March Graduated (Ph.D.), Department of Earth and Planetary Science, The University of Tokyo
2016 April Post-doc Researcher, Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute (AORI), The University of Tokyo
2016 August Post-doc Fellow, SOEST Atmospheric Sciences, University of Hawai'i at Manoa
2018 April JSPS Overseas Research Fellow, SOEST Atmospheric Sciences, University of Hawai'i at Manoa
2020 April Research Associate, Climate Risk Assessment Section, Center for Global Environmental Research, National Institute for Environmental Studies
2021 April Research Associate, Earth System Risk Analysis Section, Earth System Division, National Institute for Environmental Studies

Membership of Academic Society

Meteorological Society of Japan,The Oceanographic Society of Japan,Japan Geoscience Union

Research Subject

• Fiscal Year: 2025
  • 27188 : Climate Change and Air Quality Research Program
  • 27198 : Decarbonized and Sustainable Society Research Program
  • 27205 : Improving the simulation of climate and air quality using the latest emissions of GHG and SLCF
  • 27234 : Research on Advancement of Climate Change Impact Assessment Methodology
  • 27236 : Simultaneous achievement of global decarbonization and sustainability
  • 27237 : Quantification of National Decarbonization and Sustainable Society Scenarios
  • 27244 : Earth System Domain: Foresight and Advanced Basic Research
  • 27302 : Ensemble simulations for the climate change risk assessment in cities
  • 27303 : Quantifying and understanding the compound weather and climate extremes regarding future projection for Japan and the Asia-Pacific region
  • 27363 : Intellectual research infrastructure development:Systematic monitoring, development of information on impact prediction and adaptation, and development of tools in the field of climate change adaptation
  • 27408 : Research for understanding and improving systematic biases of tropical cloud and precipitation processes and El Nino-Southern Oscillation in climate models
  • 27435 : Understanding global warming levels and reducing uncertainty related to climate projection
• Fiscal Year: 2024
  • 26799 : Climate Change and Air Quality Research Program
  • 26811 : Decarbonized and Sustainable Society Research Program
  • 26818 : Improving the simulation of climate and air quality using the latest emissions of GHG and SLCF
  • 26849 : Research on Advancement of Climate Change Impact Assessment Methodology
  • 26852 : Simultaneous achievement of global decarbonization and sustainability
  • 26853 : Quantification of National Decarbonization and Sustainable Society Scenarios
  • 26859 : Earth System Domain: Foresight and Advanced Basic Research
  • 26889 : Research for understanding and improving systematic biases of tropical cloud and precipitation processes and El Nino-Southern Oscillation in climate models
  • 26960 : Ensemble simulations for the climate change risk assessment in cities
  • 26961 : Quantifying and understanding the compound weather and climate extremes regarding future projection for Japan and the Asia-Pacific region
  • 26987 : Understanding global warming levels and reducing uncertainty related to climate projection
  • 27100 : Intellectual research infrastructure development:Systematic monitoring, development of information on impact prediction and adaptation, and development of tools in the field of climate change adaptation
• Fiscal Year: 2023
  • 26406 : Decarbonized and Sustainable Society Research Program
  • 26411 : Improving the simulation of climate and air quality using the latest emissions of GHG and SLCF
  • 26436 : Research on Advancement of Climate Change Impact Assessment Methodology
  • 26438 : Simultaneous achievement of global decarbonization and sustainability
  • 26439 : Quantification of National Decarbonization and Sustainable Society Scenarios
  • 26512 : Topdown approach to constrain the uncertainty of climate change projection and collaborations with impact and adaptation studies
  • 26513 : Ensemble simulations for the climate change risk assessment in cities
  • 26683 : Understanding global warming levels and reducing uncertainty related to climate projection
  • 26736 : Intellectual research infrastructure development:Systematic monitoring, development of information on impact prediction and adaptation, and development of tools in the field of climate change adaptation
  • 26737 : Research for understanding and improving systematic biases of tropical cloud and precipitation processes and El Nino-Southern Oscillation in climate models
• Fiscal Year: 2022
  • 25967 : Improving the simulation of climate and air quality using the latest emissions of GHG and SLCF
  • 25984 : Decarbonized and Sustainable Society Research Program
  • 25985 : Simultaneous achievement of global decarbonization and sustainability
  • 25986 : Quantification of National Decarbonization and Sustainable Society Scenarios
  • 26002 : Research on Advancement of Climate Change Impact Assessment Methodology
  • 26127 : Topdown approach to constrain the uncertainty of climate change projection and collaborations with impact and adaptation studies
  • 26147 : Understanding global warming levels and reducing uncertainty related to climate projection
  • 26272 : Research for understanding and improving systematic biases of tropical cloud and precipitation processes and El Nino-Southern Oscillation in climate models
  • 26293 : Intellectual research infrastructure development:Systematic monitoring, development of information on impact prediction and adaptation, and development of tools in the field of climate change adaptation
• Fiscal Year: 2021
  • 25504 : Decarbonized and Sustainable Society Research Program
  • 25508 : Improving the simulation of climate and air quality using the latest emissions of GHG and SLCF
  • 25532 : Simultaneous achievement of global decarbonization and sustainability
  • 25533 : Quantification of National Decarbonization and Sustainable Society Scenarios
  • 25536 : Research on Advancement of Climate Change Impact Assessment Methodology
  • 25674 : Intellectual research infrastructure development:Systematic monitoring, development of information on impact prediction and adaptation, and development of tools in the field of climate change adaptation
  • 25727 : Understanding and reducing uncertainty related to climate sensitivity
• Fiscal Year: 2020
  • 25316 : Understanding and reducing uncertainty related to climate sensitivity

Research Result (Publication)

• all
• Original Paper
• Review
• Book
• Other Publications

• Original Paper
  Projected ENSO influences on global crop yields using a climate–crop model ensemble

  Presenter : Harrington-Tsunogai J., Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Takimoto T., Wonsik K., Iizumi T.
  Title : , Climate Research, 96: (2026)
• Book
  Climate Change Scenarios for Impacts and Adaptation Research

  Presenter : Wakazuki Y., Shiogama H., Ishizaki N., Hayashi M.
  Title : , Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Strategies in Japan (2025)
• Original Paper
  Tropical Intraseasonal Variability as a Leading Moisture Dynamic Mode of the Warm-Pool Background State

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Jin F.-F.
  Title : , Journal of Climate, 38(1):235-262 (2025)
• Original Paper
  Combined emergent constraints on future extreme precipitation changes

  Presenter : Shiogama H., Hayashi M., Hirota N., Ogura T., Kim H., Watanabe M.
  Title : , Nature Communications, 16(5293): (2025)
• Original Paper
  Amazon dieback beyond the 21st century under high-emission scenarios by Earth System models

  Presenter : Melnikova Irina, Hajima T., Shiogama H., Hayashi M., Ito A., Nishina K., Tachiiri K., Yokohata T.
  Title : , communications earth & environment, 6(670): (2025)
• Other Publications
  Scenario Dependence of Future Precipitation Changes across Japan in CMIP6

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Ishizaki N., Wakazuki Y.
  Title : , Scientific Online Letters on the Atmosphere, 20:207-216 (2024)
• Other Publications
  Emergent constraints on future changes in several climate variables and extreme indices from global to regional scales

  Presenter : Shiogama H., Hayashi M., Hirota N., Ogura T.
  Title : , SOLA, 20:122-129 (2024)
• Original Paper
  MIROC6 Large Ensemble (MIROC6-LE): experimental design and initial analyses

  Presenter : Shiogama H., Tatebe H., Hayashi M., Abe M., Arai M., Koyama H., Imada Y., Kosaka Y., Ogura T., Watanabe M.
  Title : , Earth System Dynamics, 14(6):1107-1124 (2023)
• Original Paper
  The importance of recognizing the ‘distinctiveness’ of SSP3-7.0 for use in climate change impact assessments.

  Presenter : Shiogama H., Fujimori S., Hasegawa T., Hayashi M., Hirabayashi Y., Ogura T., Iizumi T., Takahashi K., Takemura T.
  Title : , Nature Climate Change, 13:1276-1278 (2023)
• Other Publications
  The Contribution of Climate Change to Increasing Extreme Ocean Warming around Japan

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Ogura T.
  Title : , Geophysical Research Letters, 49: (2022)
• Other Publications
  Assessment of CMIP6-Based Future Climate Projections Selected for Impact Studies in Japan

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Shiogama H.
  Title : , Scientific Online Letters on the Atmosphere, 18:96-103 (2022)
• Review
  Editorial: ENSO Nonlinearity and Complexity: Features, Mechanisms, Impacts and Prediction

  Presenter : Ren H.-L., Zhang W., Lian T., Xie R., Hayashi M.
  Title : , Frontiers in Earth Science , 10(967362): (2022)
• Book
  −

  Presenter : Ren H.-L., Lian T., Hayashi M., Xie R., Zhang W.
  Title : , ENSO NONLINEARITY AND COMPLEXITY: FEATURES, MECHANISMS, IMPACTS AND PREDICTION (2022)
• Original Paper
  East Asian heatwaves driven by Arctic-Siberian warming

  Presenter : Kim J.-H., Kim S.-J., Kim J.-H., Hayashi M., Kim M.-K.
  Title : , Scientific Reports, 12:18025 (2022)
• Other Publications
  The northwestern Pacific warming record in August 2020 occurred under anthropogenic forcing

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Emori S., Ogura T., Hirota N.
  Title : , Geophysical Research Letters, 48(1): (2021)
• Original Paper
  Dynamics for El Nino-La Nina asymmetry constrain equatorial-Pacific warming pattern

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Jin F.-F., Stuecker M.F.
  Title : , Nature Communications, 11(4230):1-10 (2020)

• Projected ENSO influences on global crop yields using a climate–crop model ensemble

  Presenter : Harrington-Tsunogai J., Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Takimoto T., Wonsik K., Iizumi T.
  Title : , Climate Research, 96: (2026)
• Tropical Intraseasonal Variability as a Leading Moisture Dynamic Mode of the Warm-Pool Background State

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Jin F.-F.
  Title : , Journal of Climate, 38(1):235-262 (2025)
• Combined emergent constraints on future extreme precipitation changes

  Presenter : Shiogama H., Hayashi M., Hirota N., Ogura T., Kim H., Watanabe M.
  Title : , Nature Communications, 16(5293): (2025)
• Amazon dieback beyond the 21st century under high-emission scenarios by Earth System models

  Presenter : Melnikova Irina, Hajima T., Shiogama H., Hayashi M., Ito A., Nishina K., Tachiiri K., Yokohata T.
  Title : , communications earth & environment, 6(670): (2025)
• MIROC6 Large Ensemble (MIROC6-LE): experimental design and initial analyses

  Presenter : Shiogama H., Tatebe H., Hayashi M., Abe M., Arai M., Koyama H., Imada Y., Kosaka Y., Ogura T., Watanabe M.
  Title : , Earth System Dynamics, 14(6):1107-1124 (2023)
• The importance of recognizing the ‘distinctiveness’ of SSP3-7.0 for use in climate change impact assessments.

  Presenter : Shiogama H., Fujimori S., Hasegawa T., Hayashi M., Hirabayashi Y., Ogura T., Iizumi T., Takahashi K., Takemura T.
  Title : , Nature Climate Change, 13:1276-1278 (2023)
• East Asian heatwaves driven by Arctic-Siberian warming

  Presenter : Kim J.-H., Kim S.-J., Kim J.-H., Hayashi M., Kim M.-K.
  Title : , Scientific Reports, 12:18025 (2022)
• Dynamics for El Nino-La Nina asymmetry constrain equatorial-Pacific warming pattern

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Jin F.-F., Stuecker M.F.
  Title : , Nature Communications, 11(4230):1-10 (2020)

• Editorial: ENSO Nonlinearity and Complexity: Features, Mechanisms, Impacts and Prediction

  Presenter : Ren H.-L., Zhang W., Lian T., Xie R., Hayashi M.
  Title : , Frontiers in Earth Science , 10(967362): (2022)

• Climate Change Scenarios for Impacts and Adaptation Research

  Presenter : Wakazuki Y., Shiogama H., Ishizaki N., Hayashi M.
  Title : , Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Strategies in Japan (2025)
• −

  Presenter : Ren H.-L., Lian T., Hayashi M., Xie R., Zhang W.
  Title : , ENSO NONLINEARITY AND COMPLEXITY: FEATURES, MECHANISMS, IMPACTS AND PREDICTION (2022)

• Scenario Dependence of Future Precipitation Changes across Japan in CMIP6

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Ishizaki N., Wakazuki Y.
  Title : , Scientific Online Letters on the Atmosphere, 20:207-216 (2024)
• Emergent constraints on future changes in several climate variables and extreme indices from global to regional scales

  Presenter : Shiogama H., Hayashi M., Hirota N., Ogura T.
  Title : , SOLA, 20:122-129 (2024)
• The Contribution of Climate Change to Increasing Extreme Ocean Warming around Japan

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Ogura T.
  Title : , Geophysical Research Letters, 49: (2022)
• Assessment of CMIP6-Based Future Climate Projections Selected for Impact Studies in Japan

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Shiogama H.
  Title : , Scientific Online Letters on the Atmosphere, 18:96-103 (2022)
• The northwestern Pacific warming record in August 2020 occurred under anthropogenic forcing

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Emori S., Ogura T., Hirota N.
  Title : , Geophysical Research Letters, 48(1): (2021)

Research Result (Presentation)

• all
• Research Presentation
• Research Lecture

• Research Presentation
  Tipping of the Amazon rainforest under high-emission scenarios

  Presenter : Melnikova Irina, Hajima T., Shiogama H., Hayashi M., Ito A., Nishina K., Tachiiri K., Yokohata T.
  Name of Society : TIPMIP General Assembly 2026 (2026)
  Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
• Research Presentation
  Long-term Responses, Reversibility, and Tipping Points of the Earth System Beyond 2100, and a New Research Project on Climate Tipping Points in Japan

  Presenter : Yokohata T., Melnikova Irina, Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Nishina K., Takao S., WATANABE Y., Suzuki T., Kusahara K., Hajima T., Kawamiya M., Satoh Y., Kamae Y., Abe-Ouchi A., Yoshimori M., Tanaka K., Takahashi K.
  Name of Society : TIPMIP General Assembly 2026 (2026)
  Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
• Research Presentation
  Tipping of the Amazon rainforest under high-emission scenarios by CMIP5 and CMIP6 Earth System models

  Presenter : Melnikova Irina, Hajima T., Shiogama H., Hayashi M., Ito A., Nishina K., Tachiiri K., Yokohata T.
  Name of Society : CMIP Community Workshop 2026 (2026)
  Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
• Research Presentation
  Long-term responses and tipping points of Earth system beyond 2100

  Presenter : Yokohata T., Melnikova Irina, Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Nishina K., Takao S., WATANABE Y., Suzuki T., Kusahara K., Hajima T., Kawamiya M., Satoh Y., Kamae Y., Abe-Ouchi A., Yoshimori M.
  Name of Society : CMIP Community Workshop 2026 (2026)
  Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
• Research Presentation
  ENSO changes until the 25th century under multiple global warming scenarios in an Earth System Model

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Yokohata T., Ogura T., Shiogama H., Stuecker M.F., Zhao S., Jin F.-F.
  Name of Society : Busan IAMAS-IACS-IAPSO Joint Assembly 2025 (2025)
  Name of Proceedings : Abstracts, 243
• Research Presentation
  Tropical intraseasonal variability as a leading moisture dynamic mode of the warm-pool background state in a linear baroclinic model

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Jin F.-F.
  Name of Society : Busan IAMAS-IACS-IAPSO Joint Assembly 2025 (2025)
  Name of Proceedings : Abstracts, 96
• Research Presentation
  Amazon dieback beyond the 21st century by Earth System models

  Presenter : Melnikova Irina, Yokohata T., Shiogama H., Hajima T., Hayashi M., Ito A., Nishina K., Tachiiri K.
  Name of Society : Global Tipping points Conference 2025 (2025)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• Research Lecture
  Extreme Weather and Climate Events in a Changing Climate

  Presenter : Hayashi M.
  Name of Society : Asia Clean Energy Forum 2025 (2025)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• Research Presentation
  Projections of Amazon dieback beyond the 21st century using Earth system models

  Presenter : Melnikova Irina, Shiogama H., Hajima T., Hayashi M., Ito A., Nishina K., Tachiiri K., Yokohata T.
  Name of Society : 日本地球惑星科学連合2025年大会 (2025)
  Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
• Research Presentation
  Nonmonotonic changes in the El Nino-Southern Oscillation under multiple scenarios until the 25th century in MIROC-ES2L

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Yokohata T., Ogura T., Shiogama H., Stuecker M., Zhao S., Jin F.F.
  Name of Society : 日本地球惑星科学連合2025年大会 (2025)
  Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
• Research Presentation
  Future of Amazon carbon cycle by CMIP Earth System Models

  Presenter : Melnikova Irina, Yokohata T., Shiogama H., Hajima T., Hayashi M., Ito A., Nishina K., Tachiiri K.
  Name of Society : Fresh Eyes on CMIP Around the World  Workshop by The Fresh Eyes on CMIP Steering Group and CMIP Panel (2025)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• Research Presentation
  Biased ENSO Dynamic Feedback in the Atmosphere-Only Simulations of CMIP6 Climate Models

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Jin F.-F.
  Name of Society : Wyrtki Symposium 2025 (2025)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• Research Presentation
  Scenario dependence of future precipitation around Japan

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Ishizaki N., Wakazuki Y.
  Name of Society : 2024 UTokyo-SNU-Yonsei Joint Workshop on Earth System Interaction under Changing Climate (2024)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• Research Presentation
  Detecting the impacts of anthropogenic greenhouse gas and aerosol forcings on ENSO

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Ogura T., Tatebe H., Stuecker M.F.
  Name of Society : AOGS2024 21st annual meeting (2024)
  Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
• Research Presentation
  Long-term responses and tipping elements in Earth system beyond 2100

  Presenter : Yokohata T., Melnikova Irina, Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Yamamoto A., Suzuki T., Kusahara K., Kamae Y., Satoh Y., Hajima T., Kawamiya M., Nishina K., Takao S., Hirota N., Yoshimori M.
  Name of Society : Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024 (2024)
  Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
• Research Presentation
  Tropical Intraseasonal Variability as a Linear Leading Moisture Dynamic Mode of the Warm-Pool Background State

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Jin F.-F.
  Name of Society : Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024 (2024)
  Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
• Research Presentation
  Recognizing distinctiveness of SSP3-7.0 for use in impact assessments

  Presenter : Shiogama H., Fujimori S., Hasegawa T., Hayashi M., Hirabayashi Y., Ogura T., Iizumi T., Takahashi K., Takemura T.
  Name of Society : EGU General Assembly 2024 (2024)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• Research Presentation
  GC24J-08 Long-term responses and tipping points in Earth system beyond 2100

  Presenter : Yokohata T., Melnikova Irina, Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Yamamoto A., Suzuki T., Kamae Y., Kusahara K., Hajima T., Satoh Y., Kawamiya M., Takao S., Nishina K., Hirota N., Yoshimori M.
  Name of Society : AGU Fall meeting (2024)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• Research Presentation
  Long-term responses and tipping points in Earth system beyond 2100 and the TIPMIP simulations by MIROC-ES2L

  Presenter : Yokohata T., Melnikova Irina, Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Yamamoto A., Suzuki T., Kamae Y., Kusahara K., Hajima T., Satoh Y., Kawamiya M., Takao S., Nishina K., Hirota N., Yoshimori M.
  Name of Society : TIPMIP General Assembly (2024)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• Research Presentation
  Revealing the future emission scenario dependence of precipitation changes across Japan in NIES2020 and CMIP6

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Ishizaki N., Wakazuki Y.
  Name of Society : The 4th Asian Conference on Meteorology(ACM)2024 jointly organized with The 3rd Workshop on the A3 Foresight Program (2024)
  Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
• Research Presentation
  ENSO Dynamic Feedback Biases Common to Atmosphere-Only and Atmosphere-Ocean Coupled Climate Models in CMIP6

  Presenter : Hayashi M.
  Name of Society : International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG) 2023 (2023)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• Research Presentation
  Tropical Intraseasonal Variability in a Moist Linear Baroclinic Model

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Jin F.-F.
  Name of Society : SENTAN-Foresight Workshop on Tropical Climate Variability (2023)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• Research Presentation
  ENSO Feedback Biases Common to the Coupled and Uncoupled Climate Model Simulations of CMIP6

  Presenter : Hayashi M.
  Name of Society : Japan Geoscience Union (JpGU) Meeting 2023 (2023)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• Research Presentation
  Detecting the Climate Change Impacts on Extreme Ocean Warming Events Observed around Japan for 1982-2022

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Ogura T.
  Name of Society : Japan Geoscience Union (JpGU) Meeting 2023 (2023)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• Research Presentation
  CMIP6-Based Future Climate Projections Selected for Impact and Adaptation Studies in Japan

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Shiogama H.
  Name of Society : 1st Joint Workshop on the A3 Foresight Program: Networking Climate Change Hubs for Promoting Future Earth Over Northeast Asia (2023)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• Research Presentation
  The Impact of Climate Change on the Extreme Ocean Warming Events Observed in Japan's Marginal Seas for 1982-2022

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Ogura T.
  Name of Society : EGU General Assembly 2023 (2023)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• Research Presentation
  ENSO feedback bias common to coupled and uncoupled climate models

  Presenter : Hayashi M.
  Name of Society : Yonsei Univ - Univ of Tokyo - POSTECH Joint Workshop on climate variability and changes (2023)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• Research Presentation
  Detecting the impacts of anthropogenic greenhouse gas and aerosol forcings on ENSO

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Ogura T., Tatebe H., Stuecker M.F.
  Name of Society : The International Workshop on Communications on Future Changes of Extreme Weather with Reduced Uncertainty Based on Physical Understandings (2023)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• Research Presentation
  Projection of long-term responses and tipping elements of Earth system using MIROC-ES2L

  Presenter : Yokohata T., Melnikova Irina, Su X., Takahashi K., Tanaka K., Hajima T., Yamamoto A., Tachiiri K., Kusahara K., Saito F., Saito K., Sueyoshi T., Yoshimori M., Kamae Y., Okubo H., Abe-Ouchi A., Shiogama H., Ogura T., Hirota N., Hayashi M., Nishina K., Ito A., Takao S., Kawamiya M.
  Name of Society : Addressing Key Uncertainties in Modelling Physical and Ecological Tipping Dynamics in the Earth System (towards TIPMIP) (2023)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• Research Presentation
  Impact of Arctic-Siberian Warming on East Asian Heatwaves

  Presenter : Kim J.-H., Kim S.-J., Kim J.-H., Hayashi M., Kim M.-K.
  Name of Society : AGU Fall Meeting 2022 (2022)
  Name of Proceedings : なし
• Research Presentation
  Detecting anthropogenic effects on the record-warm northwestern Pacific sea surface temperature in August 2020

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Emori S., Ogura T., Hirota N.
  Name of Society : EGU General Assembly 2021 (2021)
  Name of Proceedings : Abstracts

• Tipping of the Amazon rainforest under high-emission scenarios

  Presenter : Melnikova Irina, Hajima T., Shiogama H., Hayashi M., Ito A., Nishina K., Tachiiri K., Yokohata T.
  Name of Society : TIPMIP General Assembly 2026 (2026)
  Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
• Long-term Responses, Reversibility, and Tipping Points of the Earth System Beyond 2100, and a New Research Project on Climate Tipping Points in Japan

  Presenter : Yokohata T., Melnikova Irina, Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Nishina K., Takao S., WATANABE Y., Suzuki T., Kusahara K., Hajima T., Kawamiya M., Satoh Y., Kamae Y., Abe-Ouchi A., Yoshimori M., Tanaka K., Takahashi K.
  Name of Society : TIPMIP General Assembly 2026 (2026)
  Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
• Tipping of the Amazon rainforest under high-emission scenarios by CMIP5 and CMIP6 Earth System models

  Presenter : Melnikova Irina, Hajima T., Shiogama H., Hayashi M., Ito A., Nishina K., Tachiiri K., Yokohata T.
  Name of Society : CMIP Community Workshop 2026 (2026)
  Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
• ENSO changes until the 25th century under multiple global warming scenarios in an Earth System Model

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Yokohata T., Ogura T., Shiogama H., Stuecker M.F., Zhao S., Jin F.-F.
  Name of Society : Busan IAMAS-IACS-IAPSO Joint Assembly 2025 (2025)
  Name of Proceedings : Abstracts, 243
• Tropical intraseasonal variability as a leading moisture dynamic mode of the warm-pool background state in a linear baroclinic model

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Jin F.-F.
  Name of Society : Busan IAMAS-IACS-IAPSO Joint Assembly 2025 (2025)
  Name of Proceedings : Abstracts, 96
• Amazon dieback beyond the 21st century by Earth System models

  Presenter : Melnikova Irina, Yokohata T., Shiogama H., Hajima T., Hayashi M., Ito A., Nishina K., Tachiiri K.
  Name of Society : Global Tipping points Conference 2025 (2025)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• Projections of Amazon dieback beyond the 21st century using Earth system models

  Presenter : Melnikova Irina, Shiogama H., Hajima T., Hayashi M., Ito A., Nishina K., Tachiiri K., Yokohata T.
  Name of Society : 日本地球惑星科学連合2025年大会 (2025)
  Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
• Nonmonotonic changes in the El Nino-Southern Oscillation under multiple scenarios until the 25th century in MIROC-ES2L

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Yokohata T., Ogura T., Shiogama H., Stuecker M., Zhao S., Jin F.F.
  Name of Society : 日本地球惑星科学連合2025年大会 (2025)
  Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
• Future of Amazon carbon cycle by CMIP Earth System Models

  Presenter : Melnikova Irina, Yokohata T., Shiogama H., Hajima T., Hayashi M., Ito A., Nishina K., Tachiiri K.
  Name of Society : Fresh Eyes on CMIP Around the World  Workshop by The Fresh Eyes on CMIP Steering Group and CMIP Panel (2025)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• Detecting the impacts of anthropogenic greenhouse gas and aerosol forcings on ENSO

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Ogura T., Tatebe H., Stuecker M.F.
  Name of Society : AOGS2024 21st annual meeting (2024)
  Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
• Long-term responses and tipping elements in Earth system beyond 2100

  Presenter : Yokohata T., Melnikova Irina, Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Yamamoto A., Suzuki T., Kusahara K., Kamae Y., Satoh Y., Hajima T., Kawamiya M., Nishina K., Takao S., Hirota N., Yoshimori M.
  Name of Society : Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024 (2024)
  Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
• Tropical Intraseasonal Variability as a Linear Leading Moisture Dynamic Mode of the Warm-Pool Background State

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Jin F.-F.
  Name of Society : Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2024 (2024)
  Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
• Recognizing distinctiveness of SSP3-7.0 for use in impact assessments

  Presenter : Shiogama H., Fujimori S., Hasegawa T., Hayashi M., Hirabayashi Y., Ogura T., Iizumi T., Takahashi K., Takemura T.
  Name of Society : EGU General Assembly 2024 (2024)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• GC24J-08 Long-term responses and tipping points in Earth system beyond 2100

  Presenter : Yokohata T., Melnikova Irina, Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Yamamoto A., Suzuki T., Kamae Y., Kusahara K., Hajima T., Satoh Y., Kawamiya M., Takao S., Nishina K., Hirota N., Yoshimori M.
  Name of Society : AGU Fall meeting (2024)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• Long-term responses and tipping points in Earth system beyond 2100 and the TIPMIP simulations by MIROC-ES2L

  Presenter : Yokohata T., Melnikova Irina, Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Yamamoto A., Suzuki T., Kamae Y., Kusahara K., Hajima T., Satoh Y., Kawamiya M., Takao S., Nishina K., Hirota N., Yoshimori M.
  Name of Society : TIPMIP General Assembly (2024)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• ENSO Dynamic Feedback Biases Common to Atmosphere-Only and Atmosphere-Ocean Coupled Climate Models in CMIP6

  Presenter : Hayashi M.
  Name of Society : International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG) 2023 (2023)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• Tropical Intraseasonal Variability in a Moist Linear Baroclinic Model

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Jin F.-F.
  Name of Society : SENTAN-Foresight Workshop on Tropical Climate Variability (2023)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• ENSO Feedback Biases Common to the Coupled and Uncoupled Climate Model Simulations of CMIP6

  Presenter : Hayashi M.
  Name of Society : Japan Geoscience Union (JpGU) Meeting 2023 (2023)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• Detecting the Climate Change Impacts on Extreme Ocean Warming Events Observed around Japan for 1982-2022

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Ogura T.
  Name of Society : Japan Geoscience Union (JpGU) Meeting 2023 (2023)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• CMIP6-Based Future Climate Projections Selected for Impact and Adaptation Studies in Japan

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Shiogama H.
  Name of Society : 1st Joint Workshop on the A3 Foresight Program: Networking Climate Change Hubs for Promoting Future Earth Over Northeast Asia (2023)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• The Impact of Climate Change on the Extreme Ocean Warming Events Observed in Japan's Marginal Seas for 1982-2022

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Ogura T.
  Name of Society : EGU General Assembly 2023 (2023)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• ENSO feedback bias common to coupled and uncoupled climate models

  Presenter : Hayashi M.
  Name of Society : Yonsei Univ - Univ of Tokyo - POSTECH Joint Workshop on climate variability and changes (2023)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• Detecting the impacts of anthropogenic greenhouse gas and aerosol forcings on ENSO

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Ogura T., Tatebe H., Stuecker M.F.
  Name of Society : The International Workshop on Communications on Future Changes of Extreme Weather with Reduced Uncertainty Based on Physical Understandings (2023)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• Impact of Arctic-Siberian Warming on East Asian Heatwaves

  Presenter : Kim J.-H., Kim S.-J., Kim J.-H., Hayashi M., Kim M.-K.
  Name of Society : AGU Fall Meeting 2022 (2022)
  Name of Proceedings : なし
• Long-term responses and tipping points of Earth system beyond 2100

  Presenter : Yokohata T., Melnikova Irina, Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Nishina K., Takao S., WATANABE Y., Suzuki T., Kusahara K., Hajima T., Kawamiya M., Satoh Y., Kamae Y., Abe-Ouchi A., Yoshimori M.
  Name of Society : CMIP Community Workshop 2026 (2026)
  Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
• Biased ENSO Dynamic Feedback in the Atmosphere-Only Simulations of CMIP6 Climate Models

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Jin F.-F.
  Name of Society : Wyrtki Symposium 2025 (2025)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• Scenario dependence of future precipitation around Japan

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Ishizaki N., Wakazuki Y.
  Name of Society : 2024 UTokyo-SNU-Yonsei Joint Workshop on Earth System Interaction under Changing Climate (2024)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• Revealing the future emission scenario dependence of precipitation changes across Japan in NIES2020 and CMIP6

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Ishizaki N., Wakazuki Y.
  Name of Society : The 4th Asian Conference on Meteorology(ACM)2024 jointly organized with The 3rd Workshop on the A3 Foresight Program (2024)
  Name of Proceedings : Abstracts
• Projection of long-term responses and tipping elements of Earth system using MIROC-ES2L

  Presenter : Yokohata T., Melnikova Irina, Su X., Takahashi K., Tanaka K., Hajima T., Yamamoto A., Tachiiri K., Kusahara K., Saito F., Saito K., Sueyoshi T., Yoshimori M., Kamae Y., Okubo H., Abe-Ouchi A., Shiogama H., Ogura T., Hirota N., Hayashi M., Nishina K., Ito A., Takao S., Kawamiya M.
  Name of Society : Addressing Key Uncertainties in Modelling Physical and Ecological Tipping Dynamics in the Earth System (towards TIPMIP) (2023)
  Name of Proceedings : -
• Detecting anthropogenic effects on the record-warm northwestern Pacific sea surface temperature in August 2020

  Presenter : Hayashi M., Shiogama H., Emori S., Ogura T., Hirota N.
  Name of Society : EGU General Assembly 2021 (2021)
  Name of Proceedings : Abstracts

• Extreme Weather and Climate Events in a Changing Climate

  Presenter : Hayashi M.
  Name of Society : Asia Clean Energy Forum 2025 (2025)
  Name of Proceedings : -

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