論文

査読有り 責任著者 国際共著 国際誌
2026年6月1日

Parametric Prediction of Indoor Virus Aerosol Decay Based on Ventilation-Driven Exponential Modeling

ICIC Express Letters(Innovative Computing, Information and Control)
  • Yunshui Li
  • ,
  • Kaishan Feng
  • ,
  • Yoshiki Yanagita
  • ,
  • Yuko Miyamura and Masaaki Tamagawa

20
6
開始ページ
619
終了ページ
626
記述言語
英語
掲載種別
研究論文(学術雑誌)
DOI
10.24507/icicel.20.06.619
出版者・発行元
ICIC International

Indoor airborne transmission of viruses, as underscored by the COVID-19 pandemic, poses a major health risk in confined spaces. Traditional models combining CFD (Computational Fluid Dynamics) simulations with infection-risk calculations are computationally intensive and impractical for rapid evaluation. This study proposes a ventilation-driven exponential decay model to characterize the post-occupancy decline of virus-laden aerosol concentrations. By correlating the model’s decay parameters a and b with the room’s total ventilation flow rate, we derive parametric equations enabling fast and normalized prediction. The model was validated against CFD results in a typical office: quadratic regressions of parameters versus airflow achieved high goodness-of-fit (R^2>0.68), and predicted decay curves closely matched detailed simulations. This parametric model thus allows rapid evaluation of ventilation and air cleaner strategies without additional CFD runs, offering an efficient tool for engineering design and indoor health management.

リンク情報
DOI
https://doi.org/10.24507/icicel.20.06.619
URL
https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=105038181841&origin=inward
ID情報
  • DOI : 10.24507/icicel.20.06.619
  • ISSN : 1881-803X

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