Nov 20, 2025

Policy Lab: The Geopolitics of AGI

RAND's Jim Mitre and Joel Predd discuss how advanced AI, including artificial general intelligence, might reshape global politics and security.

Oct 22, 2025

Infinite Potential—Insights from the Robot Insurgency Scenario: After-Action Report from a Sequence of Day After Artificial General Intelligence Exercises

This report summarizes the results of four runs of the Robot Insurgency scenario, an exercise conducted to understand how the United States should respond to and prepare for potential artificial intelligence developments.

Oct 21, 2025

The Republic of Korea Is a Key Partner for the United States in Artificial Intelligence Competition with China

This paper provides an overview of how to enhance U.S. competitiveness vis-à-vis China through expanded cooperation on artificial intelligence with the Republic of Korea.

Oct 20, 2025

Insights from the Development and Play of Tsunami

This paper describes the game Tsunami, which explores the impact of the development and deployment of artificial general intelligence on state-state relationships and geopolitics and provides insights on national leaders’ decisionmaking.

Oct 15, 2025

Majority of Americans See U.S. Leadership in AI as Crucial, Survey Finds

In this brief report, RAND researchers summarize newly released survey results that suggest that Americans care strongly about the United States maintaining its competitive edge over China in the race to develop artificial intelligence.

Oct 14, 2025

Your New Teammate Is a Machine. Are You Ready?

Integrating AI as a teammate in our work is inevitable, but ensuring success and safety requires proactive leadership. Leaders who establish clear accountability, invest in comprehensive training, and prioritize fairness will thrive. Those who treat AI as just another tool will face the consequences.

Oct 14, 2025

Pivots and Pathways on the Road to Artificial General Intelligence Futures

The authors of this paper introduce a framework for policy discussions about artificial general intelligence (AGI), showing how six key dimensions can be used to classify and compare different combinations of factors and potential AGI futures.

Oct 14, 2025

Infinite Potential—Insights from the Two Moonshots Scenario: After-Action Report from a Sequence of Day After Artificial General Intelligence Exercises

To understand how the United States should prepare for national security risks from artificial intelligence, the RAND Geopolitics of AGI Initiative is conducting Day After AGI exercises. This report summarizes six runs of the Two Moonshots scenario.

Oct 13, 2025

Can Humans Devise Practical Safeguards That Are Reliable Against an Artificial Superintelligent Agent?

Can humans design practical safeguards to protect our critical and digital infrastructure against attacks from a future artificial superintelligence? In this paper, the authors argue that such safeguards are both feasible and sensible.

Oct 13, 2025

The Case for AI Loss of Control Response Planning and an Outline to Get Started

The authors present the case for a national plan for responding to loss of control (LOC) incidents in which artificial intelligence systems operate outside human control, and they propose criteria and a structure for LOC response planning.

Oct 13, 2025

Expanding U.S. Net Available Power Capacity by 2030: Barriers and Solutions

The growth of U.S. data centers is straining the power grid. Researchers identified barriers to expanding capacity, assessed which can be overcome by 2030, and offer policy recommendations with estimates of potential capacity gains.

Oct 8, 2025

Quantifying AI’s Economic Potential: Growth Differentials Between Assistive and Autonomous Development Scenarios

The author models the economic implications of two scenarios for artificial intelligence (AI) development: restricting AI to assistive tools for human productivity or enabling AI agents that can autonomously perform tasks and self-replicate.