Dementia cases predicted to double by 2060
The main reason is an increasing aging population. Data show that behavioral health interventions can modify the risk of developing dementia.
514,000
Number of new dementia cases in the United States in 2020. Currently about 6.7 million Americans have dementia, representing 1.88% of the overall population.
1 million
Projected number of new U.S. dementia cases in 2060. That will bring the projected number of overall cases to 13.9 million in 2060, or 3.3% of the overall projected population. Blacks, women, and those with the APOE4 gene are at higher risk than others.
4%
Percentage of Americans age 75 who currently have dementia, compared with 20% of Americans who are 85. While it’s difficult to estimate exact figures, the percentage of Americans in these age groups is expected to rise over time and is a main reason for the projected increase in dementia cases.
40%
Percentage of dementia cases attributable to modifiable risk factors such as high blood pressure, poor kidney function, high blood glucose levels, and smoking.
Sources
Fang, M., et al. (2025). Lifetime risk and projected burden of dementia. Nature Medicine, 31(3). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-024-03340-9opens in new window
Senff, J., et al. (online, April 3, 2025). Modifiable risk factors for stroke, dementia and late-life depression: A systematic review and DALY-weighted risk factors for a composite outcome. Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery and Psychiatry. https://doi.org/10.1136/jnnp-2024-334925opens in new window.