Structured reasoning framework for Claude Code, Gemini, Cursor, and Codex — hypothesis-driven decision making with auditable evidence trails
systems is a set of tools for describing, running and visualizing systems diagrams.
First Principle Framework
A work of meta-recursive experiential fiction exploring the boundaries between truth, perception, consciousness, and reality.
A systems-thinking essay that explains why failure rarely happens suddenly. It shows how slow drift, accumulating pressure, and weakening buffers push systems toward collapse long before outcomes change, and why prediction-focused analytics miss the most important phase of failure.
An early-warning system that models disasters as instability transitions rather than isolated events. It combines force-based instability modeling with an interpretable ML escalation-risk layer to detect when hazards become disasters due to exposure growth, response delays, and buffer collapse.
DataCurator enables you to map and understand complex systems before helping you plan, communicate and navigate successful interventions in them.
An interpretable battery health engine that detects hidden points of no return instead of just predicting health %. It models stress, buffer, and degradation intensity, discovers Stable/Drifting/Irreversible regimes via GMM, and learns simple Decision Tree thresholds, with a Streamlit app for diagnostics and what-if scenarios.
A long-form systems essay arguing that most metrics fail because they measure outcomes instead of accumulated pressure. It reframes collapse as a consequence of debt, buffer depletion, and delayed feedback, and explains why early warning depends on measuring pressure rather than predicting final events.
A long-form article and practical framework for designing machine learning systems that warn instead of decide. Covers regimes vs decimals, levers over labels, reversible alerts, anti-coercion UI patterns, auditability, and the "Warning Card" template, so ML preserves human agency while staying useful under uncertainty.
A systems-thinking essay that reframes failure as a gradual transition rather than a discrete outcome. It explains how pressure accumulation, weakening buffers, and hidden instability precede visible collapse, and why prediction-based models arrive too late to prevent failure in human-centered systems.
An explanation-first HR analytics system that reconstructs why employee exit becomes rational. Instead of predicting attrition, it generates human-readable exit narratives by decomposing pressure and retention forces, adding peer context and counterfactual interventions to reveal how stability erodes over time.
A long-form systems essay arguing that machine learning fails when used as an automated decision-maker in unstable environments. It reframes ML as an early-warning instrument that exposes pressure, instability, and shrinking intervention windows, preserving human judgment instead of replacing it with late, brittle decisions.
A systems-thinking essay arguing that most optimization quietly trades away buffers, slack, and resilience to make present metrics look better. It reframes efficiency as borrowing stability from the future, and shows how education, workforce, infrastructure, markets, and hardware all get optimized into fragility.
An analytical essay on why prediction-based models fail in reflexive, unstable systems. This article argues that accuracy collapses when models influence behavior, and proposes equilibrium and force-based modeling as a more robust framework for understanding pressure, instability, and transitions in AI-shaped systems.
A systems-level analysis engine that models sleep as a recovery debt process rather than a nightly outcome. Using physiological traits and ecological pressure signals, it estimates predicted sleep need, quantifies sleep debt, and visualizes how stress accumulates silently before visible fatigue or failure occurs.
An interpretable early-warning engine that detects academic instability before grades collapse. Instead of predicting performance, it models pressure accumulation, buffer strength, and transition risk using attendance, engagement, and study load to explain fragility and identify high-leverage interventions.
An interpretable system that models the future of work as an equilibrium under AI-driven forces. Instead of predicting job loss, it decomposes workforce disruption into automation pressure, adaptability, skill transferability, demand, and AI augmentation to explain stability, tension, and transition paths by 2030.
This curriculum module contains interactive examples that emphasize the general approach and methodologies of problem-solving within the field of engineering. The fundamental concepts of systems thinking/engineering will be used as the basis to solve problems.
This repository contains the code accompanying the case study featured in the CFA Institute Research and Policy Center report, Reframing Financial Markets as Complex Systems
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