Does an IEEE C57.91 cumulative-ageing model beat "peak load" at ranking which distribution transformers fail? No — uplift +0.014 AUC against a pre-registered 0.05 threshold. A killing experiment run in two days, before building the product. Six of eight predictions hit; two informative misses.
energy reproducible-research numpy transformers open-science ranking power-systems identifiability asset-management synthetic-data predictive-maintenance failure-prediction negative-results distribution-grid arrhenius iec-60076-7 thermal-modeling cramer-rao-bound ieee-c57-91 insulation-aging
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Aug 14, 2026 - Python