Step 1: Forecast state transition probabilities from the historical set: Run "Forecast Transition Probabilities" on historical_transition_probabilities.csv -> forcasted_transition_probabilities_0.15.xlsx

Step 2: Generate the annual permits forecast based on the current state and forecasted state transition probabilities: Run "Forecast Annual Permits" on forcasted_transition_probabilities_0.15.xlsx

Extract property data

historical transition probabilities

Find peaks and throughs in housing data

Plot custom vs all homes inclusing spec homes

early sales histograms

Kaplan Meier estimates of median tenure and critical years

Rolling averages in tenure trends

Fit Weibull curves

ANOVA and Tukey HSD tests

Kruskal-Wallis and Mann-Whitney tests

Ploting generational differences

OSF DATA