2026 United States Senate election in Oregon
| Party | Democratic | Republican |
|---|
The 2026 United States Senate election in Oregon will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Oregon. Incumbent senator Jeff Merkley, who was re-elected with 56.9% of the vote in 2020, has not announced if he intends to run for a fourth term.
Background
[edit ]Oregon is generally considered to be a Democratic stronghold, having not elected a Republican to the U.S. senate since 2002 (or any Republican statewide since 2016). Democrats control both U.S. Senate seats, all statewide offices, all but one seat in Oregon's U.S. House congressional delegation, and, since January 2025, hold supermajorities in both houses of the Oregon Legislative Assembly.[1] Merkley was first elected in 2008, and was re-elected twice, in 2014 and 2020.
Despite this, Republicans have been performing better in recent races, gaining seats in two of the last three legislative elections,[2] [3] and Republicans on the national level have begun to put more resources into Oregon candidates.[4] [5] [6]
Democratic primary
[edit ]Candidates
[edit ]Potential
[edit ]- Jeff Merkley, incumbent U.S. senator
General election
[edit ]Predictions
[edit ]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Inside Elections [7] | Solid D | January 17, 2025 |
| The Cook Political Report [8] | Solid D | February 11, 2025 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball [9] | Safe D | February 13, 2025 |
References
[edit ]- ^ Shumway, Julia (2024年11月27日). "Democrats win supermajority in Oregon House, Senate, with narrow win in Woodburn • Oregon Capital Chronicle". Oregon Capital Chronicle. Retrieved 2025年01月27日.
- ^ Staff, FOX 12 (2022年11月10日). "Democrats lose supermajority in Oregon State Senate and House". KPTV. Retrieved 2025年01月27日.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link) - ^ McInally, Mike (2022年12月16日). "Oregon GOP hailed end to Democrats' 'supermajority' but will that matter much? • Oregon Capital Chronicle". Oregon Capital Chronicle. Retrieved 2025年01月27日.
- ^ Oregonian/OregonLive, Grant Stringer | The (2022年09月21日). "National Republicans inject big money into races for Oregon Legislature, amid national bid to wrest control of more statehouses". oregonlive. Retrieved 2025年01月27日.
- ^ "Dark money group targets Oregon swing districts with new mailers, ads". opb. Retrieved 2025年01月27日.
- ^ "With fundraising flagging, Oregon Republicans' ambitions rely on Greg Walden". KLCC | NPR for Oregonians. 2024年09月12日. Retrieved 2025年01月27日.
- ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 14, 2025.
- ^ "2026 CPR Senate Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 11, 2025.
- ^ "2026 Senate ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved February 13, 2025.