ai building
I Sized My Polymarket Bets Wrong. Kelly Criterion Fixed It.
I sized Polymarket bets wrong until I ran the Kelly math. Exact formula: fee drag, half-Kelly, worked example on live win-rate data.
· 8 min
#math
1 post tagged with "math"
adhd aeo agent-architecture agent-harness agentic-seo agentic-systems agents ai ai-agents ai-benchmarks ai-building ai-coding-tools ai-crawlers ai-economics ai-engineering ai-tools ai-visibility ai-workflows algorithmic-trading answer-engine-optimization anthropic architecture audit automation avr-framework binance browser-ai-api bud bug-bounty builder business case-study chatgpt chrome-prompt-api citation-mechanics claude-adhd claude-code claude-fable-5 claude-fable-5-vs-opus-4-8 claude-md claude-nerfed claude-opus-4-8 client-side-ai cloudflare cloudflare-radar co-mention codex-os comparison content-creation content-intent content-optimization content-pipeline content-sop content-strategy context convex cross-posting cursor debugging decision-ledger deployment developer-productivity developer-tools devops devto digitalocean distributed-systems domain-authority entity-engineering entity-graph entity-seo executive-function externalization fable-5 falsifiability future gemini-nano geo geo-seo git github-copilot harness-engineering honest-failure hooks infrastructure is-claude-nerfed kelly-criterion kill-criteria knowledge-graph llm llms.txt mark-50 math mcp mental-health microsaas model-routing multi-agent navigator-modelcontext neurodivergent nodejs notion openclaw optimization orchestration originality pdf perplexity philosophy plan-quota polymarket position-sizing pricing production productivity python quality quality-control rag robots-txt robots.txt saas sameas schema schema-org search-engines second-brain security seo serverless side-projects skills software-development solo-operator startup strategy structured-data subagents subscription-pricing sunk-cost sveltekit systems-design tokens trading trading-bot tuning tutorial vercel verification webmcp websocket wikidata workflow working-memory zapier zero-cost-ai-audit