Japan Center for Economic Research

Asia Research Report
Asia Research Report
April 2018 (FY2017)
■ This report was originally published in Japanese in March 2018. The original report is here.

Contents: (PDF)
Contributors: (PDF)
Introduction: Five Scenarios for the Korean Peninsula――The Need to Address the Facts and Develop a Long-term Vision (PDF)
Chapter 1: A Proposal for a Policy of Flexible Containment――Beyond the Policy of Maximum Pressure (PDF)
Chapter 2: Securing Japan by Strengthening Deterrence and Promoting Cooperation――Japan Should Engage in Dialogue (PDF)
Chapter 3: Guiding the North Korean Economy Toward Reform and Opening Up――Inter-Korean Exchange and Northeast Asian Economic Cooperation (PDF)
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Back Numbers
October 2017 (FY2016)
■ This report was originally published in Japanese in March 2017. The original report is here.

Contents: (PDF)
Contributors: (PDF)
Preface: (PDF)
Chapter 1: Geopolitical Change in Northeast Asia――Implications for the Korean Peninsula of New Relationships Between World Powers (PDF)
Chapter 2: US-North Korea and US-South Korea Relations in the Age of Trump――New Developments Triggered by the Change of Administration (PDF)*
Chapter 3: China's Korean Peninsula Policy Enters an Adjustment Period――Restructuring Relationships With North and South Korea (PDF)*
Chapter 4: Russia's New "Look East" Policy and Relations With North and South Korea――The Putin Administration's Geopolitical Approach (PDF)*
Chapter 5: The North Korean Nuclear Issue and the Limitations of Regional Approaches――Changes in North Korean Nuclear Policy Under the Kim Jong-un Regime (PDF)*
Chapter 6: North Korea's New Strategic Line on Economic and Nuclear Development and the Lifestyles of Its People――A Unique Military-Industrial Complex and a Growing Market Economy (PDF)*
Chapter 7: North Korea's Current Policy on Introducing Foreign Capital and Associated Problems――A Comparison With Levels in China (PDF)*
Chapter 8: The History and Prospects of Economic Relations Between Japan and North Korea――Transitions in Trade and Investment and Preparations to Move Forward After the Resolution of Outstanding Issues (PDF)*
Chapter 9: Features of North Korea’s Economic System and Efforts to Induce Change in the Future――Developing an Environment Conducive to Reform Through Strategic Thinking(PDF)*
Chapter 10: The Logic and Limitations of Economic Sanctions――Implications for North Korean Policy (PDF)*
Chapter 11: Reconfiguring Strategies and Taking Precautions Against Upheaval on the Korean Peninsula――North Korean Policy in an Era of Population Decline (PDF)

*Summaries
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May 2016 (FY2015)

Contents: (PDF)
Contributors: (PDF)
Preface: (PDF)
Introduction: The North Korean Risk and Half a Century of Diplomatic Relations between Japan and South Korea(PDF)
Chapter 1: Kim Jong-un’s Governance Style and Internal Risks――Instability Lurking within Stability(PDF)*
Chapter 2: North Korea in Transition: its Potential and Limitations(PDF)*
Chapter 3: North Korean Business in Transition――Financial Reforms and the Growing Power of Individuals and Private Companies (PDF)*
Chapter 4: North Korean Society and Values in Transition――The Impact of the Emergence of the Market and a Decreasing Birthrate and Aging Population (PDF)*
Chapter 5: North Korea’s Contradictory Foreign Policy Based on the New Strategic Line――Risks Associated with its Domestic Affairs, Foreign Policy, and North-South Relations(PDF)*
Chapter 6: Military Risks Continue to Grow――The Increasing Threat from North Korea’s Nuclear, Missile , and Cyber Capabilities(PDF)*
Chapter 7: Future Scenarios for the Korean Peninsula as Depicted by South Korea――South Korea’s Risk Perception and Expectations of Japan(PDF)
Chapter 8: Japan’s Perspective on the Korean Peninsula―― Historical Relations and Future Prospects(PDF)
Chapter 9: The Need to Restructure Japan and South Korea’s Diplomatic Strategy――Changes in the East Asian Situation and Coordination of Policies on North Korea(PDF)*
Chapter 10: Turmoil and Transformation in the Security Alliances between Japan, the USA, and ROK――Restoration of the US-ROK Alliance and Renewal of the Japan-US Alliance(PDF)*
Chapter 11: Creating a New Regional Economic Zone in Northeast Asia――An Examination of a Proposal for Cooperation with the North after the Resolution of Outstanding Issues (PDF)*
Chapter 12: Political Leadership in Question ――Toward Japan-South Korea Cooperation in Addressing Risk(PDF)

*Summaries
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December 2014

Contents: (PDF)
Contributors: (PDF)
Chapter 1: The Impending Establishment of the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) -Progress in de facto integration has already been realized The Issues of the ASEAN Economy(PDF)
Chapter 2: Progress and Challenges of Establishing the ASEAN Economic Community -Steady progress on the elimination of tariffs, but slow progress on non-tariff barriers(PDF)
Chapter 3: Progress on the ASEAN Intra-Regional Trade -Diverse players and further expansion(PDF)
Chapter 4: The Current State and Outlook of ASEAN's Intra-Regional Direct Investment -ASEAN becomes its own largest investor(PDF)
Chapter 5: Current Situation of the Flow of Laborers within the ASEAN Region -More laborers flowing into Singapore, Malaysia, and Thailand(PDF)
Chapter 6: Wide-Ranging Transport Infrastructure Development within the ASEAN Region -Multilayered development, high hopes for economic spillover effect(PDF)
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December 2013

Preface: (PDF)
Contents: (PDF)
Contributors: (PDF)
Chapter 1: The Issues of the ASEAN Economy-Rising Debate over the Middle-Income Trap(PDF)
Chapter 2: The Middle-Income Trap Verified by Data-The Exit Key is Developing Institutions(PDF)
Chapter 3: Malaysia aims to become a high-income country-The difficulty in demolishing long-standing abuses so as to maintain high growth(PDF)
Chapter 4: Thailand Upholding a "Creative Economy" -Concerns that political instability will be a heavy weight (PDF)
Chapter 5: Indonesia: The Surfacing of Structural Problems -The Pressing Issue of Infrastructure Development(PDF)
Chapter 6: Philippines: The Challenge of Sustaining High Growth-Formulation of effective medium to long-term plan is essential(PDF)
Chapter 7: Development and Implications of the Asian NIEs -A trap for high-income countries as well; a diverse verification is necessary (PDF)

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December 2012

Preface: (PDF)
Contents: (PDF)
Contributors: (PDF)
Introduction: The ASEAN Economy in the Spotlight(PDF)
Chapter 1: ASEAN, Aiming to Create an Economic Community (AEC)(PDF)
Chapter 2: The Vitality of the ASEAN Least Developed Countries (The CLM)(PDF)
Chapter 3: Entanglement of Regional Economic Integration and ASEAN (PDF)
Chapter 4: The State and Issues of the ASEAN Economy(PDF)
Chapter 5: Corporate ASEAN Strategies(PDF)
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December 2011

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Executive Summary: (PDF)
Preface: (PDF)
Contents: (PDF)
Contributors: (PDF)
Chapter 1: India and the World(PDF)
Chapter 2: Indo-Japanese Economic Relations--Japanese Companies Seek to Catch Up(PDF)
Chapter 3: Sino-Indian Relations--From Hostility to Mutual Cooperation and Complementation (PDF)
Chapter 4: US-Indian Relations--A Multifaced Partnership Under Construction(PDF)
Chapter 5: Relations Between India and Europe, Russia, the Middle East, and Africa--From Traditional Friendly Countries to the Frontiers (PDF)
Chapter 6: Relations with Northeast Asia (South Korea and Taiwan)--South Korean Corporations Take the Lead, Taiwanese Corporations also Start Active Deployment(PDF)
Chapter 7: India-ASEAN Relations--The Formation of a Production Network(PDF)
Chapter 8: Trade & Investment Relations between India and the Countries of South Asia--EPAs are Effective in Facilitating (PDF)
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December 2010

Executive Summary: (PDF)
Introduction: China and India Continue High-Speed Growth (PDF)
Chapter 1: The Rising Chinese and Indian Economies: Comparison from the Historical Perspective
Chapter 2: Sino-Indian Relations at Present: An Overview of Economic Relations
Chapter 3: Infrastructure and Energy
Chapter 4: Trends in Foreign Direct Investment Policies and Inward and Outward Direct Investment
Chapter 5: Trade and Trade Policy: Global Strategies of China and India
Chapter 6: Demographic Structure and Fostering of Human Resources
Chapter 7: Comparative Study of the Chinese and Indian ICT Industry
Chapter 8: Strategic Comparison of Chinese and Indian Manufacturing and the Potential for Cooperation
Epilogue: Toward the Realization of Further Economic Growth in China and India
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December 2009

Executive Summary: (PDF)
Introduction: The Indian Economy: Growth, Challenges, and Regional Cooperation (PDF)
Chapter 1: Overview of the Indian Economy and Challenges for Further Growth
Chapter 2: Potential and Risk in the Indian Mega Market
Chapter 3: The Globalization of India
Chapter 4: The IT Industry--Leveraging India's Talent
Chapter 5: Automobiles
Chapter 6: Fast-Moving Consumer Goods
Chapter 7: India's Financial and Capital Markets
Chapter 8: Shifting Political Currents
Chapter 9: SAARC-Outlook for Economic Regionalism and Indian-Pakistani Cooperation
Chapter 10: Relations with Japan-Expanding Bilateral Cooperation
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December 2008

Executive Summary:(PDF)
Introduction: The Huge Asia-Pacific Market Comes of Age:Japanese and US Strategies and APEC’s Twentieth Anniversary(PDF)
Chapter 1: Economic and Trade Interdependence among APEC's Member
Chapter 3: Service Trade and Movement of People in APEC: Liberalization Measures for Their Further Promotion
Chapter 4: APEC's Future and Japan's Role: Possibilities for Further Developing the Asia-Pacific's Investment Environment and Production Networks
Chapter 5: Currency and Financial Cooperation in the Asia-Pacific: Status and Tasks
Chapter 6: Possibilities for Cooperating on Energy in APEC
Chapter 7: Trade Liberalization and Agriculture in APEC: The Agricultural Issue in FTAs
Chapter 8: Economic Impact of the FTAAP: Analysis Using a Computable General Equilibrium Model
Chapter 9: The US Strategy toward Asia-Pacific: Focusing on APEC-Wide Integration
Chapter 10: APEC as a Regional Institution: American Influence and Changes in Functions and Norms
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December 2007

Executive Summary: (PDF)
Introduction: An ASEAN+6 Economic Partnership: Significance and Tasks(PDF)
Chapter 1: Economic Effects of an ASEAN + 6 Free Trade Agreement(PDF)
Chapter 2: India, Australia, and New Zealand: Economic Relations with East Asia
Chapter 3: Current Trade and Investment Barriers in India and Australia
Chapter 4: The Potential for Expansion of East Asian Production Networks: A Growing Role for India?
Chapter 5: Potential Growth in Services Trade in the ASEAN+6 Region
Chapter 6: Energy Cooperation in East Asia: Present Conditions and Challenges
Chapter 7: Increasing Diversity and Supply Stability for ASEAN+6 Agriculture and Food
Chapter 8: Business Opportunities in the Giant Indian Market
Chapter 9: Prospects and Problems for Indian Economic Expansion: Possible Economic Cooperation with East Asia
Chapter 10: The Birth of ASEAN+6: Strategic Considerations and the Potential for a New Regionwide FTA
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December 2006

Summary: (PDF)
Chapter 1: Economic Integration in East Asia and Changes in Production Networks
Chapter 2: Intra-regional Policy Coordination Necessary through Trade Facilitation
Chapter 3: Distribution Cooperation in East Asia
Chapter 4: Agriculture/Food Problems Key to the East Asian Community Scheme
Chapter 5: The East Asian Economy in 2020: An Analysis of Economic Effects of the Community
Chapter 6: Information Technology Cooperation in East Asia: Toward International Standardization of Information and Communications Technology
Chapter 7: Intensifying Cultural Exchanges
Chapter 8: Regional Monetary and Financial Coordination in East Asia
Chapter 9: Energy Security and Regional Cooperation in East Asia
Chapter 10: Multilateral Security in the Asia-Pacific Region: Possibility of Strategic Convergence of the Multilayer Mechanism
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February 2005
Introduction: Japan, China and South Korea Should Sign an FTA with ASEAN for Broader Cooperation(PDF)
Chapter 1: Intra-Industry Trade Rapidly Expanding in Japan-China-South Korea and ASEAN
Chapter 2: ASEAN, Japan, China and S. Korea Need to Step Up Cooperation in Oil Stockpiling and Other Energy Areas
Chapter 3: Leadership of Japan and China Essential in the Formation of an East Asian Monetary Zone(PDF)
Chapter 4: Narrowing the Digital Divide Is the Key to IT Cooperation in East Asia
Chapter 5: Strategic Response Needed to Growing Movement of People between ASEAN and Japan-China-South Korea
Chapter 6: Advanced Private-Sector Cooperation in Japan, China, South Korea and ASEAN Giving Boost to Moves toward FTAs in East Asia
Chapter 7: Both Japan and China Should Show Leadership in Creating an East Asian Community
Chapter 8: China's FTA Strategy and China-Japan Economic Relations
Chapter 9: The Changing Pattern of Economic Structure in East Asia:An ASEAN View
Chapter 10: South Korea to Gain A Lot from an FTA with ASEAN Along with FTAs with Japan and China

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