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. 2015 Nov 20;9(11):e0004217.
doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0004217. eCollection 2015 Nov.

Modeling and Validation of Environmental Suitability for Schistosomiasis Transmission Using Remote Sensing

Affiliations

Modeling and Validation of Environmental Suitability for Schistosomiasis Transmission Using Remote Sensing

Yvonne Walz et al. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. .

Abstract

Background: Schistosomiasis is the most widespread water-based disease in sub-Saharan Africa. Transmission is governed by the spatial distribution of specific freshwater snails that act as intermediate hosts and human water contact patterns. Remote sensing data have been utilized for spatially explicit risk profiling of schistosomiasis. We investigated the potential of remote sensing to characterize habitat conditions of parasite and intermediate host snails and discuss the relevance for public health.

Methodology: We employed high-resolution remote sensing data, environmental field measurements, and ecological data to model environmental suitability for schistosomiasis-related parasite and snail species. The model was developed for Burkina Faso using a habitat suitability index (HSI). The plausibility of remote sensing habitat variables was validated using field measurements. The established model was transferred to different ecological settings in Côte d'Ivoire and validated against readily available survey data from school-aged children.

Principal findings: Environmental suitability for schistosomiasis transmission was spatially delineated and quantified by seven habitat variables derived from remote sensing data. The strengths and weaknesses highlighted by the plausibility analysis showed that temporal dynamic water and vegetation measures were particularly useful to model parasite and snail habitat suitability, whereas the measurement of water surface temperature and topographic variables did not perform appropriately. The transferability of the model showed significant relations between the HSI and infection prevalence in study sites of Côte d'Ivoire.

Conclusions/significance: A predictive map of environmental suitability for schistosomiasis transmission can support measures to gain and sustain control. This is particularly relevant as emphasis is shifting from morbidity control to interrupting transmission. Further validation of our mechanistic model needs to be complemented by field data of parasite- and snail-related fitness. Our model provides a useful tool to monitor the development of new hotspots of potential schistosomiasis transmission based on regularly updated remote sensing data.

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

Figures

Fig 1
Fig 1. Map of Burkina Faso and Côte d’Ivoire in West Africa, illustrating the three study sites.
Fig 2
Fig 2. Illustration of field observation at typical schistosomiasis transmission sites.
Fig 3
Fig 3. Overview of single habitat variable suitability and the overall HSI.
This Figure represents the output of modeled environmental suitability for schistosomiasis transmission at the sub-site of Ziniaré in Burkina Faso for the year 2010, based on which the model was developed.
Fig 4
Fig 4. Habitat suitability index (HSI) and epidemiologic measurements at school locations for the three study sites Ouagadougou (Burkina Faso), Man and Taabo (Côte d’Ivoire), West Africa.
In Ouagadougou and Taabo, schistosomiasis is mainly caused by S. haematobium, whereas in Man S. mansoni is widespread.

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