For mathematicians
On this page we discuss some mathematical properties of range voting,
and related areas, for those who really want to know.
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Puzzle page (puzzles - answers reachable by CRV members).
Note: some of these problems are open ones that would be excellent research topics.
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A completely idiotic Instant Runoff Voting (IRV) election.
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Crude Axiomatic characterization of range voting
and a
precise writeup (pdf, 10 pages) and
(ps) which proves many key theorems about range voting.
See also
Marcus Pivato's beautiful axiomatic characterization
of range voting
(2011).
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Why Arrow's "impossibility" theorem
does not apply to range voting.
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3-candidate instant runoff voting
paradox probabilities.
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About voter honesty vs. strategy
and the Gibbard-Satterthwaite theorem.
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"Properties" of voting systems – a bad yardstick
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Theorem (& proof) explaining why Instant Runoff Voting (IRV)
leads to 2-party domination (just like under the flawed plurality system it was
supposed to "fix.") Also, shows, remarkably, that the probability of a FBLE
(favorite-betrayal lesser-evil) situation in a random large IRV election
is arccot(√2)/π≈0.195913, albeit arguably 100%, and also
does a similar FBLE analysis for Condorcet voting.
More on this.
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Some quibbles over the definition of
"Condorcet" method
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What if the Approval and Condorcet winners conflict?
Amazing "no-conflict" theorem!
(Simplified)
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A mathematical way to abolish Gerrymandering
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Definition of "Bayesian Regret" and
measurements indicating
Range Voting is best by this yardstick
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Argument that
strategic range voting approximately maximizes number of "pleasantly surprised" voters
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Venzke proof that
Condorcet voting methods exhibit "favorite betrayal."
Another Venzke Proof of a related result.
Another.
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Unintuitive examples where
approval-style range voting is not strategically optimal.
But these examples do not occur (i.e. the departure of the best approval-style vote
from optimality is negligible)
in large realistic elections in which 3-or-more-way lead-ties
(and near-ties) are regarded as negligibly unlikelier than 2-way lead-ties.
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Unintuitive examples
where dishonest approval-style range voting is strategically optimal.
But this cannot happen in 3-candidate elections, nor can the dishonesty
ever involve your favorite (or
your most-hated) candidate.
Also it in practice in 4- and 5-candidate elections seems rare and has small probabilistic
effect.
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Range voting strategy experiments
showing that honesty is actually a pretty good strategy.
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Range voting problems caused by strategic voters.
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Survey of voting methods obeying Mike Ossipoff's "Favorite Betrayal Criterion" (FBC).
We conjecture Continuum Range Voting is the unique voting method (aside from obvious variants)
obeying both FBC and immunity to candidate-cloning (assuming voters express slight
preferences among clones).
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Theorem and proofs showing (essentially) that
no pure-rank-order-ballot voting system can obey both the favorite betrayal criterion
and immunity to candidate cloning. But range voting obeys both. More precisely, we give
numerous sets of criteria that range voting obeys but no
pure-rank-order-ballot voting system can obey.
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Computer simulations
of "random normal elections."
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Jan Kok's brilliantly simple
idea showing how to run range voting elections on ordinary voting machines designed for
plurality elections.
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Useful index of election-pathology examples.
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Quick proof of Duncan Black's singlepeakedness theorem.
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Collection of skew Hadamard matrices of all orders≤100,
including exhaustive list when n≤28.
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Survey of directed graph Ramsey Numbers.
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Crude discussion of theoreticians' attempts to
get optimality theorems for voting methods.
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Numerical simulations about
apportionment methods;
they support Webster's = Sainte-Laguë's method.
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New and superior apportionment method(s).
And an introduction to apportionment.
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Jobst Heitzig thoughts on utilities, efficiency, equality.
An essay on the
mathematical foundations of utility and its
history.
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Theorems about point runoff systems: all of them
are non-monotonic, exhibit "no show paradoxes," exhibit "favorite betrayal,"
and disobey consistency with respect to partitioning into districts.
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Every
weighted positional rank-order ballot system
(except for anti-plurality voting) exhibits
favorite betrayal,
and every
weighted positional system
is vulnerable to candidate-cloning.
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Collections of election data.
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In 2006 Balinski & Laraki proposed
a voting system very similar to range voting. But it is different because based on
medians not averaging. Here is a
critique.
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Some simple voting optimality
theorems;
pretty trivial and presumably previously known, although
I have not seen such clean statements before.
But I believe Bayesian Regret
is a better optimality measure than
any of these measures.
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Proof that
"participation failure" is forced in Condorcet methods
with at least 4 candidates.
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An interesting and simple model of issues and voting
the YN model in which range votng performs optimally (with
honest voters)
while most rival voting methods can perform pessimally or near-pessimally badly.
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Criticism of the voting-related work of mathematician Don Saari.
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Two research grant proposals we made in June 2007:
ElectionTracker,
IEVS.
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Stay away from Voting Matters;
it appears to be a biased pseudo-journal.
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Combinatorics of halving lines.
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Analysis
of different voting systems vis-a-vis Los Angeles Mayoral Elections.
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Analysis
of true versus instant runoffs based on real-life data – true runoff winners
differ from plain-plurality winners over three times as often.
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The Romania 2009 presidential
election featured one or more high Condorcet cycles, and the apparent
approval-voting and range-voting
winners officially finished 3rd and/or 6th.
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