One Nation's victories are a vindication of Malcolm Turnbull's Senate reforms
One Nation's success affirms the 2016 Senate reforms in ensuring that Senate elections were decided by voters, not the opaque deals of preference traders.
Antony Green
Antony Green
Antony Green is the Australian Broadcasting Corporation's Chief Elections Analyst and is responsible for the content of the ABC's election website including editorial responsibility for the site's data analysis and the ABC's election night results service. He also contributes a popular blog on electoral matters for the site.
Antony has worked for the ABC since 1989. In that time he has worked on more than 60 federal, state and territory elections and is the face of election night coverage in Australia. He has also worked on local government elections, numerous by-elections and covered elections in the United Kingdom, New Zealand and Canada for the ABC.
Antony studied at the University of Sydney and was awarded a Bachelor of Science in Pure Mathematics and Computer Science, and a Bachelor of Economics with Honours in politics. He was granted an Honorary Doctor of Letters by the University of Sydney in 2014 and appointed an Adjunct Professor in the University of Sydney's Department of Government and International Relations in 2015.
Antony was born in England in 1960 but migrated to Australia with his parents when he was four. He grew up near Parramatta in Sydney and attended Oatlands Primary School and James Ruse Agricultural High School.
Antony previously worked in the computer industry as a programmer and data analyst. As well as his research and on-air work with the ABC, Antony designed the ABC's election night computer system and a number of the ABC election site's analysis tools including the predictive pendulum and Senate calculators.
Antony's expertise is in electoral systems, voter behaviour and election night result modelling. He has prepared numerous publications for parliamentary libraries and contributes to parliamentary enquiries into elections.
Latest by Antony Green
Sydney electorate may go to a recount as race narrows between Liberal and teal
The narrowing of the result in Bradfield has been a surprise, but the indicative preference count does not determine the winner. The next steps will be closely scrutinised and could potentially take weeks.
Antony Green on his most stressful election, proudest prediction and fight against unwieldy ballot papers
The ABC's election guru reflects on the past 36 years at the national broadcaster in the final days before covering his last big poll on-air.
By-elections are an opportunity for voters to send a message to the government. Will Labor pass the test in Dunkley?
Will the by-election produce an average anti-government swing and see Labor retain Dunkley, or will we see larger swing that delivers victory to the Liberal Party? Either way, it's set to frame politics for the first half of 2024, writes Antony Green.
'It's the national electorate that's breaking apart': Antony Green on the election result
After a bruising night for the Coalition, Labor has emerged victorious in Saturday's federal election. Here, ABC chief election analyst Antony Green takes us through some of the key takeaways — and still unanswered questions.
The 24 key seats that will decide the election result
Polls have closed in the eastern states and the counting has started. Keep an eye on these key seats which could change hands and decide the election result.
How important is your state this election?
This election will be decided in marginal seats, but as we saw in 2019, the variation in state swings can make a huge impact. So what's the situation in your state? Antony Green takes a look.
Want to know the secrets of the ABC election computer? Antony Green answers your questions
He's the man in front the big screen on election night, whose makes the decision on when the election is called - and he's answering your electoral questions.
Antony Green explains how living with COVID could affect elections, starting tomorrow
There have been around a dozen elections held in Australia since the pandemic began, but as ABC chief elections analyst Antony Green explains, none will be quite like the four NSW by-elections being held tomorrow.
How Antony Green's election calculator works
Antony Green's 2022 federal election calculator is a way of converting percentage support for political parties into numbers of seats in the House of Representatives. This is how it works.
Antony Green explains everything you need know about NSW politics' wild weekend
Election analyst Antony Green breaks down how the sudden resignations of the NSW government's upper echelons are likely to play out at state and federal levels.
Trump's decision not to concede turns on the issue of whether the election result is called or declared
Trump is within his rights to delay conceding defeat in the election until results are officially declared. But on the results available, refusing to concede at this stage looks like a desperate denial of the result, writes Antony Green.
Barilaro's attempt to take on Berejiklian was the wrong issue at the wrong time with the wrong tactics
The Coalition's cannibalism in NSW over the past 24 hours is extraordinary, not because of koalas, but for the fact Australia's most populous state has seldom seen a split like this before, writes chief elections analyst Antony Green.
Antony Green thinks Eden-Monaro could be a 'once-in-a-century' election. Here's why
The by-election will mark the first popularity test for both Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese since bushfires and coronavirus, but there are crucial reasons the race will be anything but politics as normal, writes ABC's Antony Green.
The weird traditions, exit polls and voting blocs that will determine the UK election
Voters in the United Kingdom go to the polls today in what's been called the most significant election in a generation. The ABC's chief election analyst Antony Green looks at how the count will unfold.
Antony Green's memorable moments during 30 years of analysing elections at the ABC
After starting out as a researcher and computer programmer, Antony Green has been at the forefront of the ABC's election coverage on and off air.
How Antony Green's election calculator works
Antony Green's 2019 federal election calculator is a way of converting percentage support for political parties into numbers of seats in the House of Representatives. This is how it works.
Casey asked Antony Green how to vote — this was his response
Casey Thatcher, 23, thought she wasted her vote last time, so she asked the ABC how to do it. Her question ended up on election analyst Antony Green's desk.
Voting is different in NSW — Antony Green explains why, and what could happen today
NSW uses a different system of voting from the rest of the country — here the ABC's Antony Green explains how it works, and whether it will affect the result of today's state election.
Antony Green: Why I've ditched my Lower House calculator for the NSW election
ABC election analyst Antony Green on why he won't be using his usual calculator to predict a New South Wales election winner, and the seats to watch on March 23.
Independents won't matter as much as you think next election
Predictions abound that independents could have a sizable say in the 2019 federal election, but recent trends and history suggest that may not be true, writes Antony Green.
ABC analyst Antony Green breaks down the VIC election
As always, the ABC's election analyst Antony Green will be closely watching the count tomorrow night.
The city seats, the regions and the train line that will decide Victoria's election
Victorians head to the polls tomorrow to decide who will rule the state for the next four years. Antony Green takes a look at the key seats that will shape the election outcome.
How to Vote for the Victorian Legislative Council
How to vote in the Victorian Legislative Council and keep control of your preferences
How to: Using the Legislative Council Calculator
Welcome to the ABC's Legislative Council calculator for the 2018 Victorian election. Use the calculator to work out the result in each region based on your predicted first preference votes.