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> [...] using a simple "hg status" of the working copy will not do the right thing
I think all of these workflows share a step where you have edits in your working directory that are not in the working dir’s parent changeset. Thus, I argue that hg status is helpful in a majority of cases.
In the long term, it may be better to make patchcheck work on diffs rather than $vcs status (that will be an interesting challenge for me), or something else depending on the future dev policy. That is explicitly what I’m not doing here: I’m doing a straightforward patch to add support for Mercurial in a way that just mimics Subversion, doesn’t mandate one workflow, and doesn’t cost anything.
Now it’s up to you to commit this or set resolution to "later", I won’t argue further or complain. :)