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A Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms is Forecast Today and/or Tonight

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible today into tonight across parts of the eastern Dakotas into northern Minnesota, as well as across portions of southern Arizona.
For additional details, see the latest Day 1 Convective Outlook.

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Hazard Mon (08/03) Tue (08/04) Wed (08/05) Thu (08/06) Fri (08/07) Sat (08/08) Sun (08/09) Mon (08/10)

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Severe Weather Climatology (1994-2024)

Any Severe Probabilities: 03 Aug

Sig Severe Probabilities: 03 Aug

Tornado Probabilities: 03 Aug

Damaging Wind Probabilities: 03 Aug

Severe Hail Probabilities: 03 Aug

Significant Tornado Probabilities: 03 Aug

Significant Wind Probabilities: 03 Aug

Significant Hail Probabilities: 03 Aug


More climatology data here.
Today's Storm Report Trend
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Full-size plot here.
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La tormenta factor de riesgo.

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Wildfire Climatology (1992-2020)

100 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 03 Aug

300 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 03 Aug

1000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 03 Aug

5000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 03 Aug


More climatology data here.
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Aug 01, 2026 Tornado: 2 Wind: 35 Hail: 3
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